The Joint Munition Command’s Government-Owned Contractor-Operated Industrial Base Analysis Division enhances JMC’s ability to assess risk for supply chain availability and surge. The team uses existing industrial preparedness planning data compiled through various tools and resources to assess supply chain and surge risk. JMC analysts are using an Excel-based model that allows the user to view the relative risk of ammunition items, per risk category or overall. The model assesses 10 surge and supply chain risk categories against ammunition end items. Some examples of data assessed include inventory posture, points of weakness, foreign dependencies, surge capacities and availability of inventory to fight an extended contingency. Internally, the data allows the team to focus planning efforts on the highest areas of risk. Externally, the data supports strategic engagements with key stakeholders to influence future decisions and risk-mitigation strategies.
To further expand the ability to assess the posture of ammunition through a supply chain and surge lens, a model was developed to analyze demand variability in the Total Munitions Requirement. This data deep-dive allows analysts to assess the fluctuation of demand over the last 13 years and provide input to strategic decisions (e.g. budget submissions, modernization planning), while having a better understanding of data trends and outliers.
The level of detail available enables more efficient analysis of large data sets. This allows for much quicker responses to changes in the operating environment, as for example, the recent COVID-19 global pandemic. The model allows for analysts to quickly identify the areas at highest risk for potential supply chain shortages, which can then be cross-referenced with data on areas with outbreaks. The ability to provide data quickly to senior leadership enables JMC to proactively engage to minimize risk to Warfighter Readiness.